Health of the Election Voters Register

Introduction

The following is an analysis of data extracted during an audit conducted on the Lesotho voter register. Asof Feb 10th 2015 the voter registration database had a total of 1,210,079 ACTIVEvoters. Basing on data published by the Lesotho Bureau of Statistics and assuming 100% registration of all eligible persons register -  the voter’s register is supposed to have a maximum of1,102,986 persons.

Polling Centres

There are 1,562 voting centers and here is how they are distributed across

We have a total of 2,794 voting stations.

Age group Analysis

The age breakdown of registered voters is depicted in Table 1

Table 1

Age Group

Male

Female

Total

18 - 19

15,770

19,449

35,219

20 - 24

80,816

90,115

170,931

25 - 29

87,261

100,560

187,821

30 - 34

88,038

101,412

189,450

35 - 39

67,593

80,757

148,350

40 - 44

44,326

53,984

98,310

45 - 49

33,127

43,827

76,954

50 - 54

28,235

39,709

67,944

55 - 59

23,584

35,085

58,669

60 - 64

20,962

28,738

49,700

65 - 69

15,489

22,783

38,272

70 - 74

12,020

19,133

31,153

75 - 79

8,029

15,695

23,724

80+

8,836

22,968

31,804

Unknown

877

901

1,778

Grand Total

534,963

675,116

1,210,079

The age group analysis from the projected 2015 expected population from the Lesotho Bureau of Statistics is as shown in Table 2

Table 2

Age Group

Male

Female

Grand Total

18 - 19

41,899

41,577

83,476

20 - 24

103,503

103,861

207,364

25 - 29

93,772

98,990

192,762

30 - 34

73,313

80,728

154,041

35 - 39

50,653

56,689

107,342

40 - 44

32,930

38,961

71,891

45 - 49

23,229

31,345

54,574

50 - 54

19,951

28,901

48,852

55 - 59

18,492

26,666

45,158

60 - 64

16,441

23,317

39,758

65 - 69

13,107

18,550

31,657

70 - 74

9,713

14,609

24,322

75 - 79

8,007

14,420

22,427

80+

5,751

13,611

19,362

Unknown

0

0

0

Grand Total

510,761

592,225

1,102,986

 Table 3represents the analysis when both registered voters (M/F) and projected population (M/F) are laid next to each other. The figures in Red in the table show over representation and black represents under representation.

Table 3

Ages

Registered

Male

Registered

Female

Males

Female

Under/Over

Rep Male

Under/Over

Rep Female

 

18 - 19

15,770

19,449

 41,899

 41,577

26,129

22,128

 

20 - 24

80,816

90,115

 103,503

 103,861

22,687

13,746

 

25 - 29

87,261

100,560

 93,772

 98,990

6,511

1,570

 

30 - 34

88,038

101,412

 73,313

 80,728

14,725

20,684

 

35 - 39

67,593

80,757

 50,653

 56,689

16,940

24,068

 

40 - 44

44,326

53,984

 32,930

 38,961

11,396

15,023

 

45 - 49

33,127

43,827

 23,229

 31,345

9,898

12,482

 

50 - 54

28,235

39,709

 19,951

 28,901

8,284

10,808

 

55 - 59

23,584

35,085

 18,492

 26,666

5,092

8,419

 

60 - 64

20,962

28,738

 16,441

 23,317

4,521

5,421

 

65 - 69

15,489

22,783

 13,107

 18,550

2,382

4,233

 

70 - 74

12,020

19,133

 9,713

 14,609

2,307

4,524

 

75 - 79

8,029

15,695

 8,007

 14,420

22

1,275

 

80+

8,836

22,968

 5,751

 13,611

3,085

9,357

 

Unknown

877

901

 -  

 -  

877

901

 

             

 

 

Total Under Represented

55,327

35,874

91,201

 

Total Over Represented

79,529

118,765

198,294

 

The above shows a clear picture that the voters register   

   1)  Includes people who are not supposed to be in it – the age groups from 30 – 34 to 80+     

   2)  Greatly disenfranchises the 18 – 19 and 20 – 24 age groups.

The total estimated number of people who are either multiple registered people, deceased e.t.c. That don’t form part of the projected population of Lesotho is 198,294 persons.

The total estimated number of disenfranchised persons in the general population of Lesotho is 91,201 persons.

These statistic gives a bird’s eye view of the state of under representation and over representation of persons of certain age groups nationally.